Countywide Evaluation of the Long-Term Family Self-Sufficiency Plan

Establishing the Baselines

Robert F. Schoeni, Jeanne S. Ringel, John Hedderson, Paul S. Steinberg, Laura J. Hickman, Eric R. Eide, Marian Bussey, John Fluke, Jacob Alex Klerman

ResearchPublished 2002

Responding to new opportunities and new funding, the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors adopted a Long-Term Family Self-Sufficiency Plan (LTFSS) on November 16, 1999. The LTFSS envisions 46 interrelated projects with the common goal of promoting sustained self-sufficiency for California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids Act of 1997 (CalWORKs) families, for former CalWORKs families, and for other low-income families in Los Angeles County. Five “headline indicators” — low birth weight births, domestic violence arrests, annual income under poverty level, personal behaviors harmful to self or others, and teenage high school graduation — are being used to track each of the five outcome areas —good health; safety and survival; economic well-being; social and emotional well-being; and education/workforce readiness, respectively. This report presents estimates of the indicators for Los Angeles County, lays out a “baseline” trend for the indicators, describes the factors that have caused the baseline trends for the headline indicators to appear as they do-telling the “story behind the baseline,” and provides forecasts for the five headline indicators.

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Schoeni, Robert F., Jeanne S. Ringel, John Hedderson, Paul S. Steinberg, Laura J. Hickman, Eric R. Eide, Marian Bussey, John Fluke, and Jacob Alex Klerman, Countywide Evaluation of the Long-Term Family Self-Sufficiency Plan: Establishing the Baselines. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2002. https://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1466.html.
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