Cover: Aft and Fore

Aft and Fore

A Retrospective and Prospective Analysis of Navy Officer Management

Published 2003

by Harry J. Thie, Margaret C. Harrell, Kevin Brancato, Jefferson P. Marquis, Clifford M. Graf II, Roland J. Yardley, Jerry M. Sollinger

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Focusing on its ability to meet current and future demands, the Navy recently examined its officer structure and as a result asked RAND to analyze changes in authorizations and inventory, to compare authorizations and inventory and potential gaps in costs related to them, and to estimate personnel requirements for the years 2010 and 2017. Based on this research, the authors discern trends and cycles in officer requirements and inventory as well as the evolution of policy and management of the officer corps. Among their suggestions, the authors recommend that the Navy shape the size and composition of the officer corps so that it is structured to meet future missions rather than relying on its current tendency to react to past changes in the internal and external environment. They also recommend that the Navy manage its communities individually and flexibly, using such tools as broader promotion zones and that it consider manpower costs by community and grade when planning for and filling requirements. The two future scenarios clarify the inflexibility of existing management tools and also help explore the policy changes necessary to respond to the types of changes outlined in the report.

The research described in this report was conducted for the U.S. Navy within the Forces and Resources Policy Center of RAND's National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center supported by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, the unified commands, and the defense agencies.

This report is part of the RAND monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of RAND from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

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