Aft and Fore
A Retrospective and Prospective Analysis of Navy Officer Management
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Focusing on its ability to meet current and future demands, the Navy recently examined its officer structure and as a result asked RAND to analyze changes in authorizations and inventory, to compare authorizations and inventory and potential gaps in costs related to them, and to estimate personnel requirements for the years 2010 and 2017. Based on this research, the authors discern trends and cycles in officer requirements and inventory as well as the evolution of policy and management of the officer corps. Among their suggestions, the authors recommend that the Navy shape the size and composition of the officer corps so that it is structured to meet future missions rather than relying on its current tendency to react to past changes in the internal and external environment. They also recommend that the Navy manage its communities individually and flexibly, using such tools as broader promotion zones and that it consider manpower costs by community and grade when planning for and filling requirements. The two future scenarios clarify the inflexibility of existing management tools and also help explore the policy changes necessary to respond to the types of changes outlined in the report.
Table of Contents
Laws, Policies, and Initiatives Relevant to Officer Management
Officer Inventory and Requirements: Analysis of Historical Data
Gap Analysis: Deltas, Differences, and Mismatches
Gap Analysis Costing
Future Requirements and Inventory
Officer Management Implications of Future Manpower Requirements
Conclusions and Recommendations
Navy Officer Programmed Authorization Predictions by Community
Navy Program of Record, Fiscal Years 2000-2010
Research conducted by
The research described in this report was conducted for the U.S. Navy within the Forces and Resources Policy Center of RAND's National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center supported by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, the unified commands, and the defense agencies.
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