Faultlines of Conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus
Implications for the U.S. Army
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This report identifies and evaluates key faultlines in Central Asia and South Caucasus and how they affect the likelihood and possible evolution of armed conflict in these regions. These faultlines include the role of state political and economic weakness; the impact of crime and the drug trade; the effects of ethnic tensions as well as foreign interests and influence; and the impact of competition over natural resources. The analysis then examines the ways in which the emergence of conflict could draw the United States into the strife and examines the operational challenges that the region poses for possible Army deployments in the 2010-2015 time frame.
Table of Contents
Preface
Preface, Figures, Tables, Summary, Acknowledgments
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
The Political Evolution of Central Asia and South Caucasus: Implications for Regional Security
Chapter Three
Some Economic Dimensions of Security in Central Asia and South Caucasus
Chapter Four
Criminalization and Stability in Central Asia and South Caucasus
Chapter Five
Natural Resources and Potential Conflict in the Caspian Sea Region
Chapter Six
Potential for Ethnic Conflict in the Caspian Region
Chapter Seven
Conflict in Central Asia and South Caucasus: Implications of Foreign Interests and Involvement
Chapter Eight
Central Asia and South Caucasus as an Area of Operations: Challenges and Constraints
Chapter Nine
Sources of Conflict and Paths to U.S. Involvement
Bibliography
"Faultlines is a must-have textbook for the professional analyst or the student. It covers a broad range of subjects including political, economic and social factors that shape Central Asia and the South Caucasus. One could write volumes on these subjects independently, but the editors have created a one-stop desk reference for anyone who needs to know details on virtually any topic relating to this region."
- Comparative Strategy, Volume 23/Number 2
"This fact-filled, jargon-free guide to the political, economic, and religious tensions of the region contains many tables and will serve as a handy reference book for any library. Highly recommended."
- CHOICE Magazine, June 2004
"Overall, the analysis is solid and reliable, so the book carries a lot of convincing power and, therefore, is of significant interest for many categories of readers."
- Journal of Peace Research
Research conducted by
The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Army and conducted by the RAND Arroyo Center.
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