Reconstituting a Production Capability
Past Experience, Restart Criteria and Suggested Policies
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This report evaluates the feasibility of restarting weapon system production lines in response to a resurgent major threat and suggests steps that might be taken at shutdown to ease restart. The cost and schedule advantages of restart relative to new-system production are quantified. Criteria are identified for deciding which systems ought to be regarded as candidates for restart, and the application of the criteria is illustrated. Other reconstitution options (e.g. maintaining “warm” production lines, excess production for stockpiling) are briefly reviewed.
Table of Contents
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
Production-Restart Experience
Chapter Three
Preparing for Production Restart: Smart Shutdown
Chapter Four
Identifying Candidate Systems for Restart
Chapter Five
Alternative Reconstruction Strategies
Chapter Six
Conclusions
Appendix A
Army Munitions Startup Problems
Appendix B
Production Restart of Naval Ships
Appendix C
Historical Restart Cost-Estimating Methods
Appendix D
Summary of Restart Schedules
Appendix E
Restart Learning-Curve Analyses
Appendix F
Regression Analyses
Appendix G
Detailed Screening of Selected Systems
Research conducted by
The research in the report was sponsored by the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition. The research was conducted in the National Defense Research Institute, RAND’s federally funded research and development center supported by the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the Joint Staff.
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