Estimation and Prediction of Ballistic Missile Trajectories

Jeffrey A. Isaacson, David Vaughan

ResearchPublished 1996

To examine the capabilities satellites can bring to bear in a theater missile defense (TMD) environment, the authors describe a methodology, based on Kalman filtering, for the estimation and prediction of ballistic missile trajectories and then apply the methodology to a notional theater ballistic missile. One useful application is in estimating the uncertainty associated with the location of a missile launch. Determining missile location uncertainty at any point along the trajectory is another application. Filters optimized for random errors alone as well as random plus bias errors are outlined. Harnessed in a theater of operations, the type of information described in this report can be used to enhance the capability of active and passive defenses and attack operations.

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  • Copyright: RAND Corporation
  • Availability: Available
  • Year: 1996
  • Print Format: Paperback
  • Paperback Pages: 97
  • Paperback Price: $25.00
  • Paperback ISBN/EAN: 978-0-8330-2376-6
  • Document Number: MR-737-AF

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RAND Style Manual
Isaacson, Jeffrey A. and David Vaughan, Estimation and Prediction of Ballistic Missile Trajectories, RAND Corporation, MR-737-AF, 1996. As of September 24, 2024: https://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR737.html
Chicago Manual of Style
Isaacson, Jeffrey A. and David Vaughan, Estimation and Prediction of Ballistic Missile Trajectories. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1996. https://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR737.html. Also available in print form.
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