To Find, and Not to Yield

How Advances in Information and Firepower Can Transform Theater Warfare

by David Ochmanek, Edward R. Harshberger, David E. Thaler, Glenn A. Kent

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Absent significant changes in U.S. defense investment priorities, American forces could soon find themselves unable to cope with some emerging challenges in large-scale power projection operations. Specifically, U.S. forces will need better capabilities to secure a foothold in distant theaters, to defeat weapons of mass destruction and their delivery vehicles, to gain control of operations in the air, and to locate and destroy invading ground forces. New surveillance sensors, information processing capabilities, communication systems, and guided munitions are enabling operational concepts that can allow U.S. forces to meet emerging challenges and, indeed, to adopt new approaches to warfare. The authors assess quantitatively the capabilities of U.S. forces in the context of a generic scenario depicting a large-scale war in the next decade. From this, they identify priorities for modernizing U.S. forces. They argue that modernization dollars should be focused on forces and enabling capabilities that allow for decisive operations early in a conflict. If necessary, funds for such enhancements can come from modest reductions in forces that are slower to deploy.

Table of Contents

  • Preface

  • Figures

  • Tables

  • Summary

  • Acknowledgements

    Acknowledgments

  • Chapter One

    Introduction: Defense Planning for the 21st Century

  • Chapter Two

    Scenarios for Evaluating Future Needs and Capabilities

  • Chapter Three

    Competing Approaches to Theater Warfare

  • Chapter Four

    Assessing Future U.S. Capabilities for the Halt Phase

  • Chapter Five

    Priorities for Modernization: Ensuring a Robust Capability to Halt Invasions

  • Chapter Six

    Broader Implications for the Defense Program

  • Appendix

    Assessment Approach and Methods

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