Research Brief
New Analytic Methods Can Improve the Development of Air Force Space and Missile Officers
Jan 1, 2006
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Times, as they say, are changing, and these changes have specifically affected Air Force jobs in space and missiles. The jobs available and the backgrounds required for them have changed substantially just over the careers of today’s officers. As a result, it has become difficult to match the right person to the right job — or even for an individual to prepare properly for a job that will be in demand at some time in the future. To address these and related issues, the authors surveyed experienced officers in these fields to identify the backgrounds — the education, skills, and experience — officers would need to perform each job (the demand), used personnel records to assess the backgrounds and career paths of today’s officers (the supply), and determined what gaps might exist between the supply and demand. Subsequent modeling showed that, while there are gaps, substantial improvement is possible. Recommendations included further refining the development and utilization patterns, use of the resulting information for career guidance, and possibly extending this guidance to enlisted and civilian space professionals.
The printed version of this document includes a CD-ROM that contains Appendices A though G. These appendixes are included in the downloadable PDF available on this page.
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
Backgrounds Required for Space and Missile Jobs: Demand
Chapter Three
Space and Missile Officers’ Backgrounds and Career Paths: Supply
Chapter Four
Gaps Between Supply and Demand
Chapter Five
Modeling 13S Officer Development and Utilization
Chapter Six
Improving Officer Development and Utilization
Chapter Seven
Conclusions and Recommendations
Appendix A
13S and Non-13S O-4, O-5, and O-6 Positions
Appendix B
Background Rating Form and Instructions
Appendix C
13S Officers: Selected Characteristics
Appendix D
Trends in 13S Officers’ Acquired Backgrounds, 1986-2000
Appendix E
13S Job Groups for Flow Modeling
Appendix F
Case 2 Inventory
Appendix G
Summary Tabulations Comparing Five Optimizations
The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Air Force and conducted by RAND Project AIR FORCE.
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