The Future of the Soviet Role in Afghanistan

A Trip Report

Francis Fukuyama

ResearchPublished 1980

Conversations by the author with Pakistani defense and intelligence officials and Afghan exile sources indicated that the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan had reached a military stalemate as a result of Soviet tactics and sensitivity to casualties. Despite the fragmented and primitive nature of the opposition, Moscow has no short-term solution for reversing the deterioration of its local Afghan political base. It has several as yet unexploited military options for breaking the back of tribal resistance, such as a full-scale pacification effort, but all would require a substantially higher troop commitment and casualties than the Soviets have at present.

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  • Copyright: RAND Corporation
  • Availability: Available
  • Year: 1980
  • Print Format: Paperback
  • Paperback Pages: 43
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  • Document Number: N-1579-RC

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Fukuyama, Francis, The Future of the Soviet Role in Afghanistan: A Trip Report, RAND Corporation, N-1579-RC, 1980. As of September 14, 2024: https://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N1579.html
Chicago Manual of Style
Fukuyama, Francis, The Future of the Soviet Role in Afghanistan: A Trip Report. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1980. https://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N1579.html. Also available in print form.
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