Exploring Europe's Future

Trends and Prospects Relating to Security

by Johan Jrgen Holst


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This Note addresses the implications of political developments and prospects in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union for NATO crisis planning and management. It describes alternative future institutional frameworks for European security, discusses the functions that NATO and other institutions might serve, suggests a typology of potential contingencies that could strain the carrying capacity of the security order in Europe, and offers guidelines for NATO planning. The author concludes that NATO must undertake a basic examination of its purposes and structure, one that recognizes that the future of Europe will be determined first of all in the realms of political and economic construction.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Note series. The note was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.

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