An Economic Model of Family Planning and Fertility.

T. P. Schultz

Expert InsightsPublished 1968

A description of an economic model of family planning and its application to explain differences among municipalities and over time in birth rates in Puerto Rico. Beginning with the preferences of parents for children, the model seeks the determinants of birth rates among environmental factors that influence the goals and planning of parents. The hypothesis is set forth that the frequency of births in a population can be understood in terms of three groups of factors: (1) the family size goal, (2) the incidence of death, and (3) uncertainty in the family formation process where births, deaths, and remarriage are unpredictable. Pooling a time series of cross-sections for 75 municipalities in Puerto Rico, strong support is obtained for this hypothesis and its approach to population growth study. 52 pp. Ref.

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  • Availability: Web Only
  • Year: 1968
  • Pages: 52
  • Document Number: P-3862-1

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Schultz, T. P., An Economic Model of Family Planning and Fertility. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1968. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P3862-1.html.
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