Cover: Delphi Process

Delphi Process

A Methodology Used for the Elicitation of Opinions of Experts

Published 1968

by Bernice B. Brown


Download Free Electronic Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 0.6 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback15 pages $20.00

A description of the Delphi method and some of the areas to which it has and could be applied. Choosing the panel of experts, whose expertise could be decided on various grounds, is one problem of the method; another is the questioning technique itself. Questionnaires have been used in the past; however, this method could become cumbersome. In a few years it should be possible to equip each expert with a console for feeding responses to a computer, which would then compute the group response and feed back the results. Six experiments using the Delphi method have indicated that it may prove useful in military, educational, and business planning, as a tool for forecasting future strategic, economic, or other states. Other possible applications include medical diagnostics and investment counseling.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.