Expert Insights
What New Look in Defense?
Jan 1, 1969
Constraints and Budgetary Options
Expert InsightsPublished 1969
A consideration of the international and domestic policy constraints that may affect U.S. military planning in the 1970s. A feasible defense budget for the 1970s is constructed that is based on the FY 1965 budget, which was a model of austerity while maintaining large general forces for contingencies. The resulting budget is $50 billion in 1969 prices, or only about 5 percent of the GNP of the early 1970s. It reflects hard choices made between policy constraints and indicates a strategic arms freeze, but implies more drastic cuts in military capabilities. Since U.S. military structural changes might have serious repercussions abroad, they could not be adopted without consultation with U.S. allies and, hopefully, in reasonable negotiation with the Soviet Union. Among the international implications to be considered are (1) prospects of a strategic arms freeze with the USSR; (2) NATO capability and will, permitting U.S. unilateral force reductions; and (3) maintenance of the credibility of Asian commitments.
This publication is part of the RAND paper series. The paper series was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.
This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.
RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.