Explaining Dissident Success

The Huks in Central Luzon

by Harvey A. Averch, John Koehler


Full Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 1.4 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback38 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

Analysis of alternative statistical models that assess the causal factors involved in insurgent control in Central Luzon and comparison of several models that incorporate the operations of insurgent organization and socioeconomic variables. All of the formal models indicate that current insurgent control is better explained by the terror and coercion of insurgents than by the socioeconomic status of the population or by antigovernment sentiment. This suggests that if the insurgents are astute and ambitious, the area they control might be substantially extended. It might also be possible for the government to compress that area by moves designed to check insurgent operations. The outcomes in the models depend largely on the relative effectiveness of the Philippine Constabulary and the insurgents and the relative costs they incur.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.