Cover: Estimating the Quality of Airmen Recruits

Estimating the Quality of Airmen Recruits

Published 1971

by Alvin A. Cook, John P White

Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback28 pages $20.00

Analysis of the relative significance of key variables in determining the changing quality of Air Force recruits over time. Assuming a constant manpower requirement, the quality of Air Force recruits can be written as a function of the military-to-civilian earnings ratio, draft pressure, the size of the relevant population pool of eligible youths, and the unemployment rate. A model is specified for determining the quality of volunteers in terms of the AFQT (Armed Forces Qualifying Test) scores. Time series data are used to estimate the parameters; the data consist of quarterly observations from the first quarter of 1959 through the second quarter of 1967. A hypothetical but plausible scenario is presented to show how the model can be used to determine a specified quality level and to estimate the cost of achieving that level. 28 pp. Bibliog.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.