Cover: Selected Papers on National Security, 1964-1968

Selected Papers on National Security, 1964-1968

Published 1974

by James R. Schlesinger

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Compilation of nine papers, three dealing with arms control and nuclear spread and six with defense (and other governmental) decisionmaking. Among the points made in the first three: (1) The cost of acquiring an operational nuclear capability has been underestimated and its strategic importance exaggerated. (2) It is in U.S. interests to limit proliferation, but the principal sufferers from nuclear spread would be the weaker nuclear states and their neighbors. (3) Arms controllers should consider, not abstract rational models, but the real world of political and bureaucratic constraints, limited budgets, long lead times, and sluggishness in changing military postures. (4) They must understand the conflict between the two objectives of (a) reducing superpower armaments, forestalling ABM deployments, etc., and (b) preventing proliferation and maintaining stability in the third world. The papers in the second group cover the uses and limitations of systematic analysis, planning in the face of massive uncertainty, the certainty of change, and centralization/decentralization of military planning and budgeting. (Includes P-3287, 3316, 3393, 3464, 3545, 3557, 3813, 3881, and a Senate committee print.)

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