Cover: Moscow's New Time of Troubles in the Middle East: Soviet Options for  Staying in the Game.

Moscow's New Time of Troubles in the Middle East: Soviet Options for Staying in the Game.

Published 1975

by Arnold L. Horelick

Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback13 pages $20.00

Outlines the development of Soviet Middle East policy and discusses Soviet priorities in the region. Soviet posture since the Yom Kippur War has been low-keyed in the face of sharp reverses. Some options available: (1) precipitating a formal break with Egypt, (2) overtly sabotaging the American step-by-step settlement process; (3) persuading Arafat to endorse an ambiguous formula implying PLO acknowledgment of Israel's right to exist as a sovereign state within yet undefined borders, (4) resuming relations with Israel so as to inject itself into the step-by-step process, and (5) threatening to withdraw from the settlement process until the Arab parties concert a common policy. Most available alternatives entail high risks in exchange for dubious benefits and leave an upturn in Soviet fortunes dependent on the behavior of parties over which USSR has little control. Given the huge uncertainties and manifest pitfalls in the path of an American-brokered political solution, the present Soviet low profile posture is neither surprising nor entirely without prospects. 13 pp.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.