Moscow's Rift with Sadat: Implications for Soviet Middle East Policy.
Purchase Print Copy
| Format | List Price | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Add to Cart | Paperback18 pages | $20.00 | $16.00 20% Web Discount |
Soviet posture in the Middle East since the Yom Kippur War has been low-keyed in the face of sharp reverses. If the USSR hopes to profit from the anti-Western transformation it has promoted, it must bank on a renewal of Soviet patronage in Egyptian affairs. Soviet prospects depend upon the collapse of Sadat's "American strategy." A new war might succeed in drawing Egypt back, but is highly risky. The Soviets will probably rely on erosion to undermine Sadat's present strategy, on the assumption that Egypt's tilt toward the United States could not survive an indefinitely postponed settlement. The deterioration of Soviet-Egyptian relations has probably weakened Soviet incentives to promote settlement in favor of subverting Sadat's American connection. Most Soviet options entail risks and leave Soviet fortunes dependent on parties over which Moscow has little control. Given the huge uncertainties, the present Soviet low profile posture is neither surprising nor entirely without prospects. 18 pp.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.
This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.