The author addresses two questions: (1) What is it that we want and can reasonably expect NATO's theater nuclear forces (TNF) to do in the decade ahead? (2) If NATO could start from scratch, what would a sensible nuclear force posture look like? His analysis uses four simple ideas to discriminate between key issues: distinguishing between NATO and its members; distinguishing between nations; distinguishing between national interests; and distinguishing between nuclear forces. These ideas are used to discuss implications for the states (the frontier states, the interior states, and the overseas states), implications for the policies, and implications for forces (battlefield forces, theater nuclear forces, and strategic forces).
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.
Our mission to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behavior. To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous, objective, and nonpartisan, we subject our research publications to a robust and exacting quality-assurance process; avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training, project screening, and a policy of mandatory disclosure; and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of our research findings and recommendations, disclosure of the source of funding of published research, and policies to ensure intellectual independence. For more information, visit www.rand.org/about/principles.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.