Turkey and Georgia: expanding relations

by Paul B. Henze

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This paper is based on an interview that the author gave to the Turkish press after visiting the former Soviet Republic of Georgia in September and October 1991. The topics covered include future Georgian-Turkish relations, the current economic situation in Georgia, the future of Ajaria, and the possibility of Russian intervention in the fighting in Georgia. The author concludes that Turkey, which recognized the independence of Azerbaijan in November 1991, will probably also recognize Georgia and Armenia in the near future. The new Georgian government has had problems with several of its minorities: the Abkhaz and South Osetes want to secede, and some Ajars may want greater autonomy. The author believes that the Turks realize that it is not in Turkey's interest to seek the revision of the Turkish-Georgian border or to interfere in Georgia's problems with its minorities. The Russians are unlikely to intervene in the factional fighting in Georgia, nor is any Georgian faction likely to ask for their help.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

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