This paper attempts to answer the questions what Europe will be like in a decade, and what US policy should be with respect to Europe. The answers come in four propositions. Demographic, economic, and social factors will make Europe an unsettled place. Europe will be more occupied than now with world trends that will impact on Europe. Europe will be experimenting with a variety of institutional responses; these experiments will satisfy only in part. American interests in a secure and stable Europe require policies that facilitate a constructive Russian role, promote reform in East Central Europe, ease the effects of a strong Germany, bring ECE--and Balkan--economies into the European Union, anchor European security in a transatlantic relationship framed by NATO, OSCE and other organizations, and by US presence and involvement, help produce the trust necessary to enhance the objective of a Europe whole and free.
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