This paper examines the impact of three different scenarios on the evolution of East Central Europe and the Balkans. The first scenario foresees a Europe that is muddling along, not developing into a strong united entity with a cohesive foreign and security policy but not being engulfed by nationalism and protectionism. The second scenarios looks at a Europe that is becoming fragmented and inward-looking. The third scenario foresees Europe emerging as a strong, united entity, one capable of being a genuine partner for the United States.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.