Europe in the Year 2010: Implications for Central Europe and the Balkans

by F. Stephen Larrabee

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This paper examines the impact of three different scenarios on the evolution of East Central Europe and the Balkans. The first scenario foresees a Europe that is muddling along, not developing into a strong united entity with a cohesive foreign and security policy but not being engulfed by nationalism and protectionism. The second scenarios looks at a Europe that is becoming fragmented and inward-looking. The third scenario foresees Europe emerging as a strong, united entity, one capable of being a genuine partner for the United States.

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