Emergent Nationality Problems in the USSR

Jeremy R. Azrael

ResearchPublished 1977

This report analyzes emergent ethnodemographic and ethnopolitical trends in the USSR and discusses their economic, military, and political implications for the Soviet regime and for the West. There is a large disparity between the population growth rates of the country's "European" (Slavic and Baltic) nationalities, which are low and have steadily fallen, and the growth rates of its "non-European" (Caucasian and Central Asian) nationalities, which are extremely high. As a consequence, by the end of the century, between 20 and 25 percent of its teenagers and young adults will be "non-Europeans," of whom the vast majority will be Muslim Central Asians. 33 pp. Ref.

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Azrael, Jeremy R., Emergent Nationality Problems in the USSR. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1977. https://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2172.html.
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