How to Assess the Survivability of U.S. ICBMs

by Bruce W. Bennett

Download

Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 4 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback109 pages $25.00 $20.00 20% Web Discount

Develops complete survivability distributions for U.S. ICBMs under various conditions of Soviet attack and under three U.S. basing options: silos, trenches, and shelters. The distributions show the cumulative probability of a Soviet attack achieving at most a given kill probability and thus specify the confidence with which survivability can be expected. Unlike other analyses in the literature, the report explicitly defines and develops the uncertainties in ICBM basing options and in Soviet operational effectiveness that influence the assessment of survivability. The report concludes that, from a U.S. perspective, the Soviets face a very high risk in any attack against U.S. ICBMs, even though they have developed MIRVed ICBMs with much improved accuracy.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation report series. The report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.