A draft of a chapter of a proposed book on military planning in an uncertain world. The present study identifies and discusses some of the common mistakes made by operations analysts and systems analysts. The authors summarize such pitfalls as modelism, statistical and real uncertainties, overconcentration, phasing, overambition, fanaticism, and hermitism.
Kahn, Herman and Irwin Mann, Ten Common Pitfalls. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1957. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM1937.html. Also available in print form.
Kahn, Herman and Irwin Mann, Ten Common Pitfalls, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation, RM-1937-PR, 1957. As of October 06, 2021: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM1937.html