A Priori Demand Prediction

A Case Study of B-52 Airframe Parts

by T. A. Goldman

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A study which deals with predicting the demand for airframe parts in the absence of consumption data to determine whether the level of demand is related to physical and operational characteristics of parts. In particular, an attempt is made to predict the demand for B-52 airframe spare parts with the help of B-47 consumption experience. The results of these tests are then compared with the reported consumption of the same parts during the early phase-in of the B-52 weapon system. In addition, some of the theoretical foundations for the concept of service-life factors are discussed, together with the relationship of these to the demand predictions in the present study.

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