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This dissertation identifies policies and organizational options at the local level that could save lives and reduce injury likely to occur from an act of chemical terrorism. It seeks out low-cost ways to improve the current performance level in responding to chemical terrorism, using Los Angeles as a case study. The dissertation attempts to determine the level of risk of chemical terrorism in Los Angeles and identify the anticipated magnitude for which emergency responders and decisionmakers should plan. Then it considers current capability and performance levels in chemical terrorism response and determines a performance goal for response to the planning magnitude. Through modeling and simulation, the dissertation presents low-cost options in equipment, training, organization and doctrine that could improve the response to a chemical terrorist event. Finally the dissertation examines these options in terms of budget considerations in Los Angeles. The dissertation's findings point to decentralizing counter-chemical terrorism equipment throughout the Los Angeles metropolitan area; reformulating those doctrinal policies that may inadvertently slow the mitigation process; establishing low-cost training methods to enhance the specialized knowledge needed to respond effectively; putting polices in place to accelerate the decontamination process; and focusing on an all-hazards approach to preparedness.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    Background and Framework for Analysis

  • Chapter Three

    Threat and Risk Analysis

  • Chapter Four

    Magnitude and Capabilities

  • Chapter Five

    Cost-Effective Programs

  • Chapter Six

    Budget Considerations

  • Chapter Seven

    Conclusion

Research conducted by

This report is part of the RAND Corporation dissertation series. Pardee RAND dissertations are produced by graduate fellows of the Pardee RAND Graduate School, the world's leading producer of Ph.D.'s in policy analysis. The dissertations are supervised, reviewed, and approved by a Pardee RAND faculty committee overseeing each dissertation.

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