Deep decarbonization is the idea of reducing net human greenhouse gas emissions to zero in the 21st century. There are three concepts that help explain the full scope of deep decarbonization as a risk management challenge.
Florida's Miami-Dade and Broward counties are vulnerable to flooding and intrusion of saltwater into drinking water. These risks are driven by sea level rise, changes in precipitation, and urban development. How can the region adapt?
Social-behavioral modeling is famously hard. This report examines shortcomings and obstacles -- some inherent to complex adaptive systems broadly and some due to current methods and practices -- then discusses steps that deserve priority attention.
This report describes a general agent-based model (ABM) for studying social learning, and uses that general ABM to explore the relationship between micro-influence and macro-dynamics for broad classes of problems.
This report provides an overview of decision-support tools, including models and nonmodeling approaches, for policymakers and modelers and provides recommendations for using the tools to inform real-world infectious disease-related policy questions.
Defense planning needs a new approach to identify strategies that perform well over a wide range of threat and funding futures. RDM is designed to inform decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty and complexity, and as shown in an application to the munitions mix challenge, could prove quite useful.
Limiting climate change will require transformation of energy and other systems. A new model that uses Robust Decision Making tools enables decisionmakers to compare the long-term sustainability of alternative carbon emission reduction policies.
Building and using a model entail a set of related activities. Input data must be collected; the model itself must be precisely specified and constructed; and a method of interpreting the results must be developed.
Examination of the military-industrial complex (MIC) controversy. The MIC is more heterogeneous and divided than extremists suppose; the defense sector employs more budgetary controls than do other sectors spending enormous governmental resource allo...
Senior Physical Scientist; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School; Co-Director, Center for Scalable Computing and Analysis
Education Ph.D. and M.S. in biomathematics, University of California, Los Angeles; B.S. in physics, MIT
Senior Economist; Professor of Science and Technology Policy, Pardee RAND Graduate School
Education Ph.D. in economics, University of California, Berkeley; B.S. in biochemistry, University of Minnesota