Macroeconomics

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Expert Insights

Aug 31, 2026

Tax Policy Options to Promote Employment and Mitigate Federal Revenue Impacts in the Age of AI

AI may lower federal revenue from labor taxes. The authors of this paper propose a six-category framework of tax code reform options that could stabilize revenue and protect jobs.
Research

Aug 25, 2026

Federal Revenue When AI Replaces Labor: An Examination of Economic Scenarios with Highly Capable Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) replacing human labor could sharply reduce U.S. federal revenue, especially if workers are not reemployed or AI is cheap. Proactive fiscal policy is needed to manage these risks.
Research

Mar 5, 2026

A Typology of Economic Shocks and Applications for Macroeconomic Analysis

The authors developed a typology of 20 types of economic shocks and an analytical framework for understanding the macroeconomic impacts of those shocks.
Research

Feb 23, 2026

Decisive Economic Advantage: Modeling the Transition from Temporary First-Mover Leads to Economic Dominance in Artificial General Intelligence

Artificial general intelligence may differ from past technologies in ways that would allow a leader to turn an early advantage into decisive economic advantage.
Research

Dec 15, 2025

Visions to Reality: Achieving the Middle East and North Africa's Economic Ambitions

The authors analyze certain Middle Eastern and North African countries' economic aspirations by examining the countries' official long-term vision documents and assessing how countries might realistically pursue and attain their stated goals.
Research

Nov 12, 2025

SiSePuede: New Approaches to Assessing Economic Impacts of Net Zero Pathways

The model seeks to analyze the economic impact of different development pathways and thereby to help governments design emission reduction targets that enjoy broad support.
Sep 23, 2025

RAND Social and Economic Rethink, Volume 1

RAND researchers examine the opportunities and challenges presented by artificial intelligence (AI) adoption and how policymakers can account for rapid AI development and adoption.
Expert Insights

Aug 25, 2025

Macroeconomic Implications of Artificial Intelligence

The authors explore the dual macroeconomic effects of AI — the promise of enhanced productivity gains that could elevate incomes, and the potential for substantial labor displacement, particularly in sectors with high risk of automation from AI.
Expert Insights

Jul 31, 2025

The U.S.-Japan Alliance Under New Management: Summary of a March 2025 Conference

A RAND conference on what recent leadership transitions mean for the United States, Japan, and their bilateral relationship indicated that the alliance has many strengths, but leveraging them toward combating regional challenges might be difficult.
Research

Jun 23, 2025

Build Thee More Stately Mansions: Participatory Foresight and the Mid-Century U.S. Economy

This report presents findings from workshops in which participants envisioned possible pathways for the United States economy in 2040 to meet domestic and national security needs in a future characterized by strategic competition with adversaries.
Research

Feb 26, 2025

The Religious Tourism Supply Chain Along the Sukkur–Multan Motorway in Pakistan: A Case Study

In this report, the authors examine the private and social effects that the 2019 opening of the Sukkur–Multan motorway in Pakistan has had on the two cities’ religious tourism sectors.
Commentary

Feb 18, 2025

Focus on the New Economy, Not the Old: Why China's Economic Slowdown Understates Gains

China's economy has slowed substantially. China is also the top global manufacturer, leading exports of many goods, investing heavily in high-tech sectors, and innovating rapidly. It's critical to avoid conflating an economically slowing China with an industrially and technologically weaker China.

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Tax Policy Options to Promote Employment and Mitigate Federal Revenue Impacts in the Age of AI

Federal Revenue When AI Replaces Labor: An Examination of Economic Scenarios with Highly Capable Artificial Intelligence

A Typology of Economic Shocks and Applications for Macroeconomic Analysis

Decisive Economic Advantage: Modeling the Transition from Temporary First-Mover Leads to Economic Dominance in Artificial General Intelligence

Visions to Reality: Achieving the Middle East and North Africa's Economic Ambitions

SiSePuede: New Approaches to Assessing Economic Impacts of Net Zero Pathways

RAND Social and Economic Rethink, Volume 1

Macroeconomic Implications of Artificial Intelligence

The U.S.-Japan Alliance Under New Management: Summary of a March 2025 Conference

Build Thee More Stately Mansions: Participatory Foresight and the Mid-Century U.S. Economy

The Religious Tourism Supply Chain Along the Sukkur–Multan Motorway in Pakistan: A Case Study

Focus on the New Economy, Not the Old: Why China's Economic Slowdown Understates Gains

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Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics

Related Topics

Explore RAND’s Work on this Topic

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Tax Policy Options to Promote Employment and Mitigate Federal Revenue Impacts in the Age of AI

Federal Revenue When AI Replaces Labor: An Examination of Economic Scenarios with Highly Capable Artificial Intelligence

A Typology of Economic Shocks and Applications for Macroeconomic Analysis

Decisive Economic Advantage: Modeling the Transition from Temporary First-Mover Leads to Economic Dominance in Artificial General Intelligence

Visions to Reality: Achieving the Middle East and North Africa's Economic Ambitions

SiSePuede: New Approaches to Assessing Economic Impacts of Net Zero Pathways

RAND Social and Economic Rethink, Volume 1

Macroeconomic Implications of Artificial Intelligence

The U.S.-Japan Alliance Under New Management: Summary of a March 2025 Conference

Build Thee More Stately Mansions: Participatory Foresight and the Mid-Century U.S. Economy

The Religious Tourism Supply Chain Along the Sukkur–Multan Motorway in Pakistan: A Case Study

Focus on the New Economy, Not the Old: Why China's Economic Slowdown Understates Gains

Oops! An unexpected error has occurred.