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Aug 29, 2024

Forward 2045: A Foresight Study Examining the Implications of Global Trends over the Next 20 Years

Projecting 20 years into the future, the authors aim to stretch thinking beyond the immediate challenges Australia faces at home and in the Indo-Pacific region. Implications from numerous megatrends are presented to inform future defence planning.
Commentary

Aug 22, 2024

Trump 2.0 Would Get Mixed Responses in the Indo-Pacific

The responses from across the Indo-Pacific to a second Trump administration are likely to be mixed, with the determining factor being whether the country in question maintains a close relationship with the United States.
Commentary

Jun 27, 2024

AUKUS Collaboration Throughout the Capability Life Cycle: Implications for Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution Processes

This paper addresses the implications of stronger allied cooperation for the reform of both the U.S. Department of Defense’s planning, programming, budgeting, and execution processes and comparative processes of AUKUS security partnership members.
Report

Jun 20, 2024

Middle-Power Equities in a Cross-Strait Conflict

In this report, the authors assess the equities (i.e., long-term interests) of four middle powers — Australia, Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom — and their roles in deterring or limiting conflict between China and Taiwan over the Taiwan Strait.
Journal Article

May 1, 2024

Understanding How to Scale and Accelerate the Adoption of Robotic and Autonomous Systems Into Deployable Capability: Phase 1—identifying Barriers

No documented wide-scale deployments of fully robotic and functionally autonomous weapon systems exist despite every major military force having a declared interest in them. This paper explores the potential barriers to their widespread adoption.
Commentary

Apr 26, 2024

New Zealand Becomes the Latest Country to Pivot to the U.S.

Wellington's strategic pivot is good news for Washington and its allies. But the United States should temper its expectations: New Zealand is likely to continue to preserve productive relations with China while it emphasizes the importance of stronger security ties with the United States.
Commentary

Apr 16, 2024

Persistent Gray Zone Aggression in the South China Sea Calls for Increased Coordination in Rule of Law

By not providing consistent leadership on priority issues, and by allowing China to assert hegemony, the United States is losing its strategic influence in the Indo-Pacific. Establishing a Combined Maritime Forces focused on law enforcement as a soft power approach would provide a cohesive structure, improved partnerships, and a clear way to push back against Chinese gray-zone tactics and overt aggression.
Commentary

Apr 11, 2024

What Will Australia's Approach to Net Assessment Be?

Australia's 2023 Defence Strategic Review is very clear: Australia must change the way it plans for and acquires defense capabilities. Doing so will require a net assessment to examine the various factors that may contribute to or detract from the country's military capabilities.
Commentary

Apr 11, 2024

What Are China's Long-Term Antarctic Ambitions?

The recent opening of China's Qinling base, its third permanent Antarctic station, has worried some Australian and American observers. What are China's long-term ambitions? And how should Australia and its allies and partners respond?
Commentary

Feb 22, 2024

Gridlock Has Put U.S. Strategic Advantages in the Pacific at Risk

The United States is on the verge of an enormous geostrategic blunder in the Indo-Pacific region. Congress has yet to pass funding promised last year under pacts with the Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and Palau. Given the island nations' economic needs, further dithering by Washington could leave them little choice but to deepen engagement with China.
Journal Article

Feb 9, 2024

Opportunities and Challenges of AUKUS

President Biden's approval of the 2024 National Defense Authorization Act will facilitate key aspects of the AUKUS technology cooperation partnership. The partnership will benefit each participant, but is not without its challenges.
Report

Feb 6, 2024

Towards AUKUS Collaboration on Responsible Military Artificial Intelligence: Co-Design and Co-Development of AI Among the United States, the UK and Australia

The authors investigate the challenges and barriers that could inhibit or prevent the co-development of artificial intelligence (AI) between the United States and its closest allies and partners.

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