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Water managers face significant uncertainties about future water-management conditions, including precipitation and temperature patterns that may be changing in response to global climate change. As part of a multiyear study on climate-change decisionmaking under uncertainty, RAND researchers are working with water agencies in California to help them better understand how climate change might affect their systems and what actions, if any, they should take to address this challenge. This briefing augments a recent RAND report, Presenting Uncertainty About Climate Change to Water-Resource Managers: A Summary of Workshops with the Inland Empire Utilities Agency, and describes the last of four workshops held with the Inland Empire Utilities Agency in Southern California. In this briefing, the RAND team presents an analysis, based on robust decisionmaking methods, of how different adaptive water-management strategies may reduce the vulnerability of the region to climate change and other planning uncertainties.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    The Climate-Change Challenge

  • Chapter Three

    Evaluating Adaptive Management Strategies

  • Chapter Four

    Comparison of Options

  • Chapter Five

    Survey Results

Research conducted by

The research described in this report was sponsored by the National Science Foundation and was conducted under the auspices of the Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program (EEED) within RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment (ISE), in partnership with the RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Documented briefing series. RAND documented briefings are based on research presented to a client, sponsor, or targeted audience in briefing format. Additional information is provided in the documented briefing in the form of the written narration accompanying the briefing charts. All RAND documented briefings undergo rigorous peer review to ensure that they meet high standards for research quality and objectivity. However, they are not expected to be comprehensive and may present preliminary findings. Major research findings are published in the monograph series; supporting or preliminary research is published in the technical report series.

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