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At the European Union's Helsinki Summit in December 1999, Turkey was declared a candidate for EU membership. But European and U.S. stakes in Turkey continue to evolve in today's post-Cold War era, influenced in no small part by Turkey's geopolitical position as a pivotal state. The United States is concerned with Turkish support for U.S. freedom of action in key regions, and Turkey wants to ensure that it will have EU and U.S. assistance in managing its own regional challenges. The Future of Turkish-Western Relations explores the significance of changes on the Turkish domestic scene, as well as the contours of Ankara's increasingly active external policies. The report goes on to discuss Western stakes in the future of a changing Turkey. The authors offer an agenda for closer strategic cooperation in the U.S.-Turkish-European triangle, focusing on key issues such as relations with Russia, energy security, containing weapons proliferation risks in the Middle East, and reinforcing Turkish convergence with the European Union.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    Changes on the Turkish Domestic Scene and Their Foreign Policy Implications

  • Chapter Three

    Turkish Foreign and Security Policy: New Dimensions and New Challenges

  • Chapter Four

    Western Interests in a Changing Turkey

  • Chapter Five

    A Strategic Plan for Western-Turkish Relations

The research described in this report was sponsored by the Smith Richardson Foundation and RAND's Center for Middle East Public Policy (CMEPP). The research was conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of RAND's RAND National Security Research Division.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

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