The Future Security Environment in the Middle East
Conflict, Stability, and Political Change
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The security environment in the Middle East has become increasingly complicated during the past decade. This report identifies several important trends that are shaping regional security and identifies their implications for the United States. Many traditional security concerns, such as energy security and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, will remain significant factors in the future. However, ongoing domestic changes throughout the region will become increasingly important as well. Issues such as political reform, economic reform, civil-military relations, leadership change, and the information revolution are all affecting regional security dynamics. This report examines each of these issue areas and identifies some of the challenges that they pose for U.S. foreign policy.
Table of Contents
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
Political Reform in the Middle East
Chapter Three
Economic Reform in the Middle East: The Challenge to Governance
Chapter Four
Civil-Military Relations in the Middle East
Chapter Five
The Implications of Leadership Change in the Arab World
Chapter Six
Energy and Middle Eastern Security: New Dimensions and Strategic Implications
Chapter Seven
The Information Revolution and the Middle East
Chapter Eight
Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East: Proliferation Dynamics and Strategic Consequences
Chapter Nine
Conclusions
"This collection offers an up-to-date regional survey that seeks, with considerable success, to integrate many different issues and countries into an overview… Topics treated include political and economic reform, Middle Eastern oil, and weapons of mass destruction, plus civil-military relations, the information revolution, and the prospects of impending leadership changes in the area. With its regional approach, the book reveals how the issues of WMD, terrorism, U.S support for the status quo versus championing reform, putting Iraq back together, and that hardy perennial-Israel and the Arabs-are all intertwined. U.S. policy, it says, must be 'flexible and robust'…"
- Foreign Affairs
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The research reported here was sponsored by the United States Air Force and coducted within RAND Project AIR FORCE.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.
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