Forecasting Enlisted Supply: Projections for 1979-1990

Richard L. Fernandez

Published 1979

Reports on projections of the supply of high quality male enlistees to each of the four military services which were prepared for the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense—Manpower, Reserve Affairs, and Logistics. Supply equations are estimated using monthly data from the 1970s. The projections derived from them—broken down by service, mental category, and economic assumptions—show steady and substantial declines through the end of the next decade. The methodology followed in the study is detailed, and complete listings of the data employed are included.

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Fernandez, Richard L., Forecasting Enlisted Supply: Projections for 1979-1990. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1979. https://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N1297.html.
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