Forecasting Enlistment Actions from Intention Information: Validity and Improvement
Jan 1, 1982
|PDF file||1 MB||
Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.
|Add to Cart||Paperback36 pages||$20.00||$16.00 20% Web Discount|
This Note presents work on the relationship between enlistment intention information and active duty enlistments. Earlier RAND research demonstrated a significant relationship between nonprior-service respondents' stated enlistment intentions in the Youth Attitude Tracking Study (YATS) and their actual subsequent enlistment actions. Since women were not included in the YATS initially, the research was based on results for nonprior-service men. This Note highlights the men's results and reports and compares results for female and male respondents in recent YATS waves. The results indicate that enlistment intention information is useful for both sexes. However, they suggest it is probably less helpful for women than for men. The results also indicate that people stating negative enlistment intentions are an important source of enlistees, and that simple comparisons of positive intention rates for the two sexes can overstate women's interest in military service.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Note series. The note was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.
This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.