The Effectiveness of Family Planning in Taiwan : A Proposal for a New Evaluation Methodology.

by T. P. Schultz

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A new approach to evaluating the effectiveness of family planning programs in reducing birth rates. A predictive model incorporates demographic and economic statistics to analyze the relationships between birth rate and various environmental determinants: the number of surviving children that parents want, the death rate for children, and inputs to the family planning program that reduce unwanted births. Examination of the time dimensions of these relations reveals a two- or three-year behavioral-biological lag in determination of birth rates and a similar lag in empirical confirmation of program input variables. Health workers, doctors, and especially village nurses make significant contributions to the success of the program through the dissemination of services and information concerning traditional forms of contraception. 67 pp. Ref.

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