Afghanistan's upcoming presidential election is the most important political event in that country's decade-long transition to democracy. A successful election would be a major blow to the Taliban and al Qaida, and would renew Afghan efforts to bring the war to a favorable conclusion. The defeat of the Taliban in Afghanistan would be a major setback for similar groups worldwide, many of which look to Afghanistan as a sort of template for how to accomplish a jihadist takeover. By contrast, a failed election and a renewed push by the Taliban could become a rallying cry and a morale boost to the same groups. Because the stakes are high, the international community should recognize that, despite a dozen years of frustration and halting progress, Afghanistan's political and economic reconstruction needs one more push before the milestone election. Helping Afghanistan across the electoral finish line will increase the odds that the country will find some sort of solution to its internal stability and, thus, be able to deny safe haven to al Qaida and its affiliates.
Miller, Paul D., Democracy in Afghanistan: The 2014 Election and Beyond. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2014. https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE120.html.
Miller, Paul D., Democracy in Afghanistan: The 2014 Election and Beyond, RAND Corporation, PE-120-OSD, March 2014. As of November 29, 2023: https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE120.html