Modernizing the U.S. Nuclear Triad

The Rationale for a New Intercontinental Ballistic Missile

Frank G. Klotz, Alexandra T. Evans

Expert InsightsPublished Jan 3, 2022

Since the late 1950s, the United States has fielded a Triad consisting of air-, sea-, and land-based nuclear delivery systems. After decades of service, major components of all three legs are now nearing the end of their scheduled service lives. Several modernization programs are well underway, but the decision to replace the aging Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) with a new system, called the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD), has catalyzed a debate over the role of nuclear weapons in U.S. national security policy and the composition and costs of the U.S. nuclear arsenal.

This Perspective presents an overview of the principal arguments publicly advanced for and against continuing the GBSD program of record. Intended to assist Air Force officials' decisionmaking, it describes the role of the Triad in U.S. nuclear weapons policy, surveys the current strategic landscape, and outlines the major nuclear modernization programs of record, as well as describing and assessing the major objections related to fielding a new ICBM.

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Document Details

  • Availability: Available
  • Year: 2022
  • Print Format: Paperback
  • Paperback Pages: 62
  • Paperback Price: $22.50
  • Paperback ISBN/EAN: 978-1-9774-0760-3
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.7249/PEA1434-1
  • Document Number: PE-A1434-1

Citation

RAND Style Manual
Klotz, Frank G. and Alexandra T. Evans, Modernizing the U.S. Nuclear Triad: The Rationale for a New Intercontinental Ballistic Missile, RAND Corporation, PE-A1434-1, January 2022. As of September 23, 2024: https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA1434-1.html
Chicago Manual of Style
Klotz, Frank G. and Alexandra T. Evans, Modernizing the U.S. Nuclear Triad: The Rationale for a New Intercontinental Ballistic Missile. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2022. https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA1434-1.html. Also available in print form.
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This research was conducted by the Strategy and Doctrine Program within RAND Project AIR FORCE.

This publication is part of the RAND expert insights series. The expert insights series presents perspectives on timely policy issues.

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