A Methodology for Projecting the Electrical Energy Demand in California

A User's Guide to the Model

by S. K. Anderson


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Describes a computer program used for projecting the electrical energy demand of the State of California. The program is based on demand-estimating methodology described in the companion reports listed below. In addition to projecting electricity demand in California, the model serves as an analytical device to systematically and consistently analyze alternative assumptions about the future and their effects on electrical energy demand. Thus questions of population size, level of the economy, prices of electricity and gas composition of the industrial sector, and other key variables may be examined to determine their role in the future demand for electricity. In the model, California is grouped into seven socioeconomic sectors: at present the residential, industrial, and commercial sectors account for about 90 percent of the total electrical energy used in the state, and will probably always be the dominant consuming sectors. (See also R-991, R-995 and R-1106.)

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