Attacking Hardened Air Bases (AHAB)

A Decision Analysis Aid for the Tactical Commander

by C. Richard Neu

Download

Full Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 1.7 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback48 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

User's guide to an interactive JOSS computer program that aids a tactical air commander in planning a strike on a hardened Warsaw Pact airbase. The AHAB program elicits from him information about the base to be attacked, his estimates of several uncertain quantities, and his preferences concerning the emphasis to be placed on different objectives: (1) time the runway is unusable, (2) number of aircraft shelters destroyed, (3) number of enemy aircraft destroyed, and (4) number of attacking aircraft lost. AHAB includes a stochastic model for each, with probability distributions from which the outcome is chosen by random draws. The number of craters on the runway is computed as a function of the number of aircraft assigned to runway destruction and the tactics they use. An application of Bayesian decision analysis, AHAB is unique in employing a von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function to characterize the decisionmaker's preferences and attitudes toward risk. The printout record of an example session is included.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Report series. The report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.