Attrition of Nonprior Service Reservists in the Army National Guard and Army Reserve

by David W. Grissmer, Sheila Nataraj Kirby


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This report analyzes nonprior service attrition in the Army Reserve and Army National Guard, and is an extension of work reported earlier in N-2079-RA. It develops models of attrition that assign a probability of attrition to each recruit type, thus providing a basis for setting improved enlistment standards. Study results show that, similar to Active Force attrition studies, separation rates for both the Army National Guard and Army Reserve are sensitive to the education, aptitude scores and demographic composition of the enlistment cohort. Results also show that many reservists separate in order to enter an Active or another Reserve component, or to later return to the same component.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation report series. The report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.