Attrition of Nonprior Service Reservists in the Army National Guard and Army Reserve

by David W. Grissmer, Sheila Nataraj Kirby

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This report analyzes nonprior service attrition in the Army Reserve and Army National Guard, and is an extension of work reported earlier in N-2079-RA. It develops models of attrition that assign a probability of attrition to each recruit type, thus providing a basis for setting improved enlistment standards. Study results show that, similar to Active Force attrition studies, separation rates for both the Army National Guard and Army Reserve are sensitive to the education, aptitude scores and demographic composition of the enlistment cohort. Results also show that many reservists separate in order to enter an Active or another Reserve component, or to later return to the same component.

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