Middle-Term Loss Prediction Models for the Air Force's Enlisted Force Management System

Specification and Estimation

Grace M. Carter, Michael Murray, R. Ylmaz Arguden, Marygail K. Brauner, Allan Abrahamse, Harvey J. Greenberg, Debbie Drezner

ResearchPublished 1987

This study specifies equations for models that predict the loss and reenlistment behavior of airmen. The cohort models described here — where cohorts are defined based on an airman's position in his career — provide information about how airmen would respond to changes in economic conditions, military pay raises, and bonuses. Developed for the Air Force's Enlisted Force Management System, these models allow forecasts of the behavior of different demographic groups and people in different occupations.

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Document Details

  • Copyright: RAND Corporation
  • Availability: Available
  • Year: 1987
  • Print Format: Paperback
  • Paperback Pages: 101
  • Paperback Price: $30.00
  • Paperback ISBN/EAN: 978-0-8330-0891-6
  • Document Number: R-3482-AF

Citation

RAND Style Manual
Carter, Grace M., Michael Murray, R. Ylmaz Arguden, Marygail K. Brauner, Allan Abrahamse, Harvey J. Greenberg, and Debbie Drezner, Middle-Term Loss Prediction Models for the Air Force's Enlisted Force Management System: Specification and Estimation, RAND Corporation, R-3482-AF, 1987. As of October 8, 2024: https://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3482.html
Chicago Manual of Style
Carter, Grace M., Michael Murray, R. Ylmaz Arguden, Marygail K. Brauner, Allan Abrahamse, Harvey J. Greenberg, and Debbie Drezner, Middle-Term Loss Prediction Models for the Air Force's Enlisted Force Management System: Specification and Estimation. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1987. https://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3482.html. Also available in print form.
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