Changing Patterns of Nonprior Service Attrition in the Army National Guard and Army Reserve

by David W. Grissmer, Sheila Nataraj Kirby, Priscilla M. Schlegel

Download

Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 1.9 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback91 pages $25.00 $20.00 20% Web Discount

This report analyzes the attrition of Army Reserve and Army National Guard enlistees who have had no prior military service. It develops models of attrition that assign a probability of attrition to each recruit type. The models are based on analyses of historical attrition for the fiscal year 1980-1982 cohorts entering the Army National Guard and Army Reserve. The report focuses on separations to civilian life and develops separate models for attrition during the training and posttraining periods and the first two years after enlistment. A major finding is that economic factors and institutional policies are extremely important determinants of attrition across different cohorts. Although it is possible to predict the relative attrition risk associated with changes in composition or quality, the predictive power of such models is not good. As much as possible, changes in component policies or training standards must be accounted for, as well as the effect of changing economic conditions on both the entering cohorts and the component.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation report series. The report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.