The Postattack Population of the United States

Ira S. Lowry

ResearchPublished 1966

An analysis of the demographic consequences of a nuclear attack on the United States in terms of size of the postattack population; its rate of growth in subsequent decades; its composition by age, sex, and color; and postattack patterns of fertility and mortality. Five nuclear attacks are simulated and the demographic consequences computed by means of the RAND damage-assessment model, QUICK COUNT. The range of alternative outcomes from the five simulated attacks is increased to fifteen by variation of damage-assessment parameters. In terms of total fatalities, these outcomes range from 2 to 62 percent of the preattack population. Only disparities of age among those surviving appear to have short-run or long-run significance either in a purely demographic sense or from the perspective of recovery planning.

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  • Copyright: RAND Corporation
  • Availability: Available
  • Year: 1966
  • Print Format: Paperback
  • Paperback Pages: 155
  • Paperback Price: $40.00
  • Document Number: RM-5115-TAB

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RAND Style Manual
Lowry, Ira S., The Postattack Population of the United States, RAND Corporation, RM-5115-TAB, 1966. As of September 11, 2024: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM5115.html
Chicago Manual of Style
Lowry, Ira S., The Postattack Population of the United States. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1966. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM5115.html. Also available in print form.
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