An analysis of the problem of the effectiveness of weapons, not necessarily nuclear, against a nonuniform target system where there is both shot-to-shot and target-to-target variation. In 1968 the widely held Defense Intelligence Agency method for multiple attacks was found by Latter and Thomas to be inapplicable to the case of hardness variation, since its derivation was based on shot-to-shot variation rather than on target-to-target variation. In this memorandum, the DIA function is used to obtain a solution for the case of a combination of shot-to-shot and target-to-target variation. It agrees with the DIA solution for the case of one weapon or when target-to-target variation is made zero. Further, an approximate solution is obtained that agrees with that found by Latter and Thomas when the shot-to-shot variation is set equal to zero. 38 pp. Ref. (ETH)
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Research memorandum series. The Research Memorandum was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1973 that represented working papers meant to report current results of RAND research to appropriate audiences.
Our mission to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behavior. To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous, objective, and nonpartisan, we subject our research publications to a robust and exacting quality-assurance process; avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training, project screening, and a policy of mandatory disclosure; and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of our research findings and recommendations, disclosure of the source of funding of published research, and policies to ensure intellectual independence. For more information, visit www.rand.org/about/research-integrity.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.