- How would the proposed California workers' compensation (WC) formulary affect prescription drug volume?
- How would the proposed California WC formulary affect spending on prescription drugs?
- How will changes in prescription drug spending translate into economic impacts on the broader California economy?
California Assembly Bill 1124 required the state's Division of Workers' Compensation (DWC) in the Department of Industrial Relations to establish a drug formulary for all workers' compensation payers in the state. Formularies in workers' compensation serve to reinforce safe and effective prescribing patterns for practitioners and payers. The objective of this report is to estimate the potential impacts of a California Workers' Compensation formulary in terms of changes in prescription drug use and spending and to discuss the potential broader impacts of these changes on the California economy. This report is the second of three related reports. The first reviewed existing formularies that DWC might consider, summarized their relative strengths and weaknesses, reviewed the options for the related policies that are needed to implement and update the formulary, and made recommendations for the formulary implementation policies and updating process. The third report will describe a monitoring framework for tracking the actual impacts of implementing the drug formulary.
Prescription Drug Use Decreases by 7.1 Percent (381,000 Fills) Because Prescribers Write Fewer Prescriptions for Drugs Subject to PR
- Prescription drug spending decreases by 10.4 percent (or $45.4 million) because of the overall reduction in prescribing as well as lower prices for pharmacy-dispensed drugs and generic drugs compared with physician-dispensed and brand-name drugs.
- Different sets of assumptions resulted in lower- and upper-bound estimates of $25.6 million and $76.5 million, respectively.
- Physician dispensing of drugs — which is common in the California Workers' Compensation system — will be less common after the implementation of the formulary because, in many cases, physician-dispensed drugs will be subject to review by payers. This change will reduce provider net income by an estimated $18.3 million.
- In total, the net increase in California gross state product is $2.4 million. The net expected change in employment is an increase of ten jobs.
4.6 Percent of Prescription Bill Lines and 12.1 Percent of Total Spending on Brand and Generic Drugs in 2014 Were for Brand-Name Drugs When an Approved Generic Substitute Was Available
- These results suggest that new prospective review (PR) requirements may lead to changes in prescribing patterns toward generic drugs in specific classes where brand-name prescribing is relatively common (such as psychotherapeutic agents, anticonvulsants, and opioid analgesics).
- Thirty-six percent of prescription bill lines and 34 percent of prescription spending (excluding compounded drugs) were for physician-dispensed drugs in 2014.
- Only a small share of total prescriptions would be exempted from PR based on the special and perioperative fill provisions.
- Ongoing analysis of WCIS data is needed to monitor the magnitude of anticipated changes in CA WC prescription utilization and spending as the formulary is implemented, and to monitor unexpected effects of the policy.
- Evaluation and monitoring efforts should focus on changes in effects over time as prescriber behavior changes in response to growing familiarity with the formulary and PR process.
- Evaluation and monitoring efforts should also focus on rapid growth in prescribing rates or spending for specific categories of drugs that could signal a behavioral response on the part of prescribers.
- Monitoring should look for spillover effects where changes in prescribing in one drug class (for example, opioid analgesics) affect utilization in a related class (for example, simultaneous changes in utilization of drugs to treat common gastrointestinal side effects of analgesics).
- Monitoring should examine whether there are changes in nondrug services related to prescribing or specific formulary provisions.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation research report series. RAND reports present research findings and objective analysis that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND reports undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for research quality and objectivity.
Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.