Cover: Chesapeake Bay Watershed Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook

Chesapeake Bay Watershed Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook

Fall 2019

by Michelle E. Miro, Krista Romita Grocholski, Samantha Borisoff, Jordan R. Fischbach, Arthur T. DeGaetano, Pamela H. Braff, Stephanie Tanverakul

The MARISA Seasonal Climate Impacts Summary and Outlook is a quarterly series produced by the Mid-Atlantic Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments (MARISA) program, a collaboration funded by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration through RAND Corporation and researchers at Pennsylvania State University, Johns Hopkins University, Cornell University, and the Virginia Institute of Marine Science. This series draws information from regional climate centers, news and weather information, and regional-specific climate datasets for the benefit of policymakers, practitioners, residents, and community leaders in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Projections of weather and climate variability and change in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed come from the best available scientific information. For this Fall 2019 version of this series, Part 1 details significant weather events that occurred in the fall season. Part 2 characterizes seasonal temperature and precipitation compared to historical averages. Part 3 describes seasonal weather forecasts and pertinent information for the upcoming Winter 2019 season. Part 4 details the historical trends in the frequency, magnitude, and impact of hurricanes and tropical storms, as well as provides an overview of how scientists expect these storms to change under future climate.

Access the tool on midatlanticrisa.org

Research conducted by

This research was prepared for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and conducted by the Community Health and Environmental Policy Program within RAND Social and Economic Well-Being.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Tool series. RAND tools may include models, databases, calculators, computer code, GIS mapping tools, practitioner guidelines, web applications, and various toolkits. All RAND tools undergo rigorous peer review to ensure both high data standards and appropriate methodology in keeping with RAND's commitment to quality and objectivity.

Our mission to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behavior. To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous, objective, and nonpartisan, we subject our research publications to a robust and exacting quality-assurance process; avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training, project screening, and a policy of mandatory disclosure; and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of our research findings and recommendations, disclosure of the source of funding of published research, and policies to ensure intellectual independence. For more information, visit www.rand.org/about/research-integrity.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.