Policy Variation, Labor Supply Elasticities, and a Structural Model of Retirement

by Day Manoli, Kathleen J. Mullen, Mathis Wagner

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This paper exploits a combination of policy variation from multiple pension reforms in Austria and administrative data from the Austrian Social Security Database. Using the policy changes for identification, we estimate social security wealth and accrual elasticities in individuals' retirement decisions. Next, we use these elasticities to estimate a dynamic programming model of retirement decisions. Finally, we use the estimated model to examine the labor supply and welfare consequences of potential social security reforms.

This paper series made possible by the NIA-funded RAND Center for the Study of Aging and the NICHD-funded RAND Population Research Center.

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