Assessing the Stabilizing Effects of Development Programming
A Review of USAID's Evaluation Efforts in Afghanistan
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This report reviews the methodology and tools developed by the Measuring Impact of Stabilization Initiative (MISTI) to assess the impact of United States Agency for International Development (USAID) stabilization-focused programming in Afghanistan. We identify strengths and limitations of the MISTI approach, and identify recommendations for improvement. In addition to providing structured feedback to MISTI to enhance future analyses in Afghanistan, the intent of this report is to use the MISTI evaluation to illustrate the types of challenges faced in evaluating stabilization-focused interventions. Therefore this review should be of interest to researchers and policymakers planning or conducting experimental or quasi-experimental impact evaluation in conflict settings.
Table of Contents
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
Theory of Change
Chapter Three
Measurement
Chapter Four
Estimation
Chapter Five
Inference
Chapter Six
Implications for MISTI and Assessment in Conflict Settings
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This research was conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Security Research Division.
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