Daniel Egel

Overview

Commentary

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  Defense Budget Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic

  The COVID-19 pandemic is taking a dramatic toll on the U.S. economy. This could have significant medium-term implications for the U.S. defense budget. The U.S. Department of Defense will need to find efficiencies that are of at least the same magnitude as the recent sequestration.

  Apr 7, 2020 RealClearDefense

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  Economic Consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle East: Implications for U.S. National Security

  The global COVID-19 pandemic will have a dramatic effect on economies across the globe. But the Middle East may be particularly affected, given the simultaneous fall in oil prices. The economic consequences of this pandemic are also likely to affect U.S. interests in the region.

  Apr 1, 2020 The RAND Blog

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  AI and Irregular Warfare: An Evolution, Not a Revolution

  How will artificial intelligence change the way wars are fought? The answer, of course, depends. And it mainly depends on what type of wars are being fought. And how will AI affect the type of wars that the United States is most likely to fight?

  Oct 31, 2019 War on the Rocks

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  Economic Benefits of U.S. Overseas Security Commitments Appear to Outweigh Costs

  U.S. policymakers should carefully weigh the potential losses against the potential gains when considering the desirability of large-scale retrenchments of U.S. overseas security commitments.

  Sep 23, 2016 The RAND Blog

Publications

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  Report

  The American Way of Irregular War: An Analytical Memoir

  The United States has failed to achieve strategic objectives in nearly every military campaign since Vietnam. This memoir describes how the United States can begin to build the American way of irregular war needed for success in modern conflict.

  Jul 29, 2020

• Infographic

  Infographic

  Estimating the Economic Benefits of Levant Integration: A Look at the Numbers

  This infographic helps users assess values of economic integration in the Levant in a variety of ways.

  Feb 24, 2020

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  Report

  Measuring the Effectiveness of Special Operations

  How can the success (or failure) of Army special operations missions be assessed? The authors develop a methodology for doing so and illustrate the process through a fictional scenario.

  Nov 13, 2019

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  Report

  Estimating the Economic Benefits of Levant Integration

  This report describes how a comprehensive free trade agreement among the economies of the Levant could increase the average gross domestic product by 3-7 percent, and reduce regional unemployment rates by 8-18 percent.

  Sep 16, 2019

• Tool

  Tool

  The Levant Economic Integration Calculator

  This online tool allows policymakers and the public to examine how a comprehensive free trade agreement among the countries of the Levant could create significant new economic opportunities, substantially reducing regional unemployment.

  Sep 16, 2019

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  Report

  An American Way of Political Warfare: A Proposal

  The United States should develop an American political warfare capability to synchronize all elements of national power in contests with and without armed conflict and establish a national political warfare center to mature this capability.

  Jul 24, 2018

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  Report

  After Brexit: Alternate forms of Brexit and their implications for the United Kingdom, the European Union and the United States

  RAND explored eight plausible post-Brexit trade scenarios involving the UK, EU and U.S. after Brexit. Game theory insights were also used to create a better understanding of how a variety of factors might affect the outcome of Brexit negotiations.

  Dec 11, 2017

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  Tool

  Potential Economic Effects of Brexit: Implications for the United Kingdom, European Union, and United States

  This online calculator lets users explore five plausible post-Brexit trade scenarios involving the UK, EU and U.S. after Brexit and develop a custom scenario by modifying underlying economic assumptions.

  Dec 11, 2017

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  Tool

  Calculating the Economic Impacts of the Syrian Conflict: Operationalizing the World Bank's Damage and Needs Assessment

  RAND has collaborated with The World Bank to develop an online calculator that allows the user to calculate and forecast the costs of the Syrian war.

  Oct 18, 2017

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  Report

  When the Islamic State Comes to Town: The Economic Impact of Islamic State Governance in Iraq and Syria

  This report assesses the impact that Islamic State control and governance have on local economies in Iraq and Syria, offering detailed evidence of electricity shortages, refugee flows, and other changes in economic activity inside the caliphate.

  Sep 13, 2017

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  Report

  What Factors Cause Individuals to Reject Violent Extremism in Yemen?

  Why do some individuals engage in political violence in Yemen, while others do not? Using a unique national survey, we examine the role that social, political, and economic factors play on individual behavior toward violence during Yemen's civil war.

  May 22, 2017

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  Journal Article

  Examining the Food-Energy-Water and Conflict Nexus

  This article provides an in-depth review of the interactions between insecurity and conflict within the component sectors of the FEW nexus.

  2017

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  Report

  Investing in the Fight: Assessing the Use of the Commander's Emergency Response Program in Afghanistan

  This report examines the use of the Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP) in Afghanistan. It explores the effectiveness of CERP in supporting tactical operations in Afghanistan during the counterinsurgency-focused 2010--2013 time frame.

  Oct 13, 2016

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  Report

  Estimating the Value of Overseas Security Commitments

  In an era of intensifying debate over U.S. funding and resources, RAND researchers explore whether and to what extent the United States derives economic benefits from its overseas security commitments.

  Sep 22, 2016

• Research Brief

  Research Brief

  Economic Benefits of U.S. Overseas Security Commitments Could Far Outweigh Costs

  Amid intensifying debate over U.S. funding and resources, RAND researchers find that the economic benefits of U.S. overseas security commitments could far exceed the costs.

  Sep 22, 2016

• Tool

  Tool

  Estimating the Value of Overseas Security Commitments: An Interactive Visualization

  Researchers estimated that U.S. economic losses from major retrenchments of overseas security commitments would be more than triple any gains. This visualization compares different estimated gains and losses from selected retrenchment levels and selected tax, spending, and trade multipliers.

  Sep 22, 2016

• Draft

  Draft

  Assessing the Stabilizing Effects of Development Programming: A Review of USAID's Evaluation Efforts in Afghanistan

  Reviews the methodology and tools developed by the Measuring Impact of Stabilization Initiative to assess the impact of United States Agency for International Development stabilization-focused programming in Afghanistan.

  Aug 12, 2016

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  Report

  The Outlook for Arab Gulf Cooperation

  This report examines what binds and divides the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states -- Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates -- and presents the outlook for the GCC's evolution over the next ten years.

  Jul 26, 2016

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  Report

  Task Force for Business and Stability Operations: Lessons from Afghanistan

  RAND researchers identify lessons from the Task Force for Business and Stability Operations in Afghanistan, which sought to use private-sector strategies to create a sustainable Afghan economy.

  Jan 12, 2016

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  Report

  The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary: (Arabic translation)

  An Arabic translation of a study‘s executive summary estimating the net costs and benefits if the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians follows its current trajectory over the next ten years, relative to five other trajectories.

  Nov 23, 2015

• Report

  Report

  The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary: (Hebrew translation)

  A Hebrew translation of an executive summary of a study estimating the net costs and benefits if the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians follows its current trajectory over the next ten years, relative to five other trajectories.

  Nov 23, 2015

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  Report

  The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

  This study estimates the net costs and benefits if the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians follows its current trajectory over the next ten years, relative to five other possible trajectories that the conflict could take.

  Sep 8, 2015

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  Report

  The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary

  This executive summary shares findings from a study that estimates the net costs and benefits if the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians follows its current trajectory over the next ten years, relative to five other trajectories.

  Jun 18, 2015

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  Tool

  Costs of the Conflict Calculator

  The RAND Costs of Conflict study estimates the net costs and benefits of five alternative trajectories -- a two-state solution, coordinated unilateral withdrawal, uncoordinated unilateral withdrawal, nonviolent resistance, and violent uprising.

  Jun 8, 2015

• Report

  Report

  Venture Capital and Strategic Investment for Developing Government Mission Capabilities

  Through case studies and economic modeling, this research on government strategic investment will help acquisition managers evaluate strategic investment methods to motivate mission-oriented innovation by private firms.

  Mar 24, 2014

Multimedia

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  36:38

  RAND Experts Discuss the Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Study

  Jun 18, 2015