Lance Menthe

Photo of Lance Menthe
Senior Physical Scientist; Affiliate Faculty, Pardee RAND Graduate School
Santa Monica Office


Ph.D. in physics, University of California, Los Angeles; M.S. in physics, University of California, Los Angeles; B.A. in physics, economics, University of California, Berkeley


Lance Menthe is a senior physical scientist at RAND and a member of the Pardee RAND Graduate School faculty. He works primarily on intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) issues for th U.S. Air Force and U.S. Army, including employment of remotely piloted aircraft and artificial intelligence for processing, exploitation, and dissemination (PED). Other recent work includes analyzing the potential for light attack systems to provide close air support in counterinsurgency and counterterrorism operations. Menthe is the lead developer of RAND's Systems and CONOPs Operational Effectiveness Model (SCOPEM), an agent-based model of air, ground, and space domains.

Prior to joining RAND, Menthe received a Ph.D. in physics from the University of California, Los Angeles, with a thesis on the physics of twisting conformations of DNA.

Recent Projects

  • Technologies for TechELINT PED
  • Close Air Support for COIN/CT
  • Closing the PED Gap
  • Defining Characteristics for the Army's Next-Generation Aerial ISR Fleet
  • Optimizing Army Intelligence with Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

Selected Publications

Lance Menthe, Dahlia Anne Goldfeld, Abbie Tingstad, Sherrill Lingel, Edward Geist, Donald Brunk, Amanda Wicker, Sarah Lovell, Balys Gintautas, Anne Stickells, et al., Technology Innovation and the Future of Air Force Intelligence Analysis, RAND (RR-A341-1), 2021

Lance Menthe, Myron Hura, Carl Rhodes, The Effectiveness of Remotely Piloted Aircraft in a Permissive Hunter-Killer Scenario, RAND (RR-276-AF), 2014

Lance Menthe, Amado Cordova, Carl Rhodes, Rachel Costello, Jeffrey Sullivan, The Future of Air Force Motion Imagery Exploitation: Lessons from the Commercial World, RAND (TR-1133), 2012

Lance Menthe, Jeffrey Sullivan, A RAND Analysis Tool for Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance, RAND (TR-557-AF), 2008

Honors & Awards

  • Research Excellence Award 2011, RAND Project AIR FORCE